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  • On Credit: What About Commercial Loans?
    By David Braun on March 4th, 2010 | No Comments Comments

    mps_logo1Banks are still not lending much these days and last year  had their sharpest decline in lending in 67 years.  A friend who is a Vice President at a major US bank recently told me: “We have lots of money to lend, just no one that we want to lend it to.”   So how are cash-poor companies with good growth potential going to grow?

    The simple truth is that many won’t.  But for others there are several options:

    • Go slow
    • Bring on new equity partners
    • Align with better credit worthy people (think co-signing here)
    • Get trade credit from larger suppliers
    • Talk to your credit union or community bank (especially those without a lot of mortgage loans)
    • Keep talking to your bank.

    One CEO told me he met with 32 banks before he got one to believe in him and his business plan.  From the banks’ perspective they are still working through a mountain of bad real estate loans and the commercial credit crunch is just starting to emerge.  So what will banks do about all these commercial notes?  I think their options are limited.  If they call the note the owner may go into foreclosure and fire sale the property.  It seems to me this creates a FASB 157 issue for banks and would require them to re-value their balance sheet which just exacerbates the problem.

    I predict we’ll see banks extend credit and hope for better days ahead to refinance, syndicate or sell off these commercial loans.   The bigger opportunity here may be for a new breed of commercial capital to fund growing companies – perhaps a bank, mezzanine lender, private equity investor and venture capitalist all blended together to create an organization that actually lends money to companies.  We don’t seem to have many of these nowadays.  I’m thinking I should do research on Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A., located in Siena, Italy.  It was founded in 1472 it is the oldest surviving bank in the world.  Surely they have been through this before.

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  • Honing the Approach with Owners
    By John Dearing on February 25th, 2010 | No Comments Comments

    business-phoneClients always want to know how  we can quickly understand the perspective of the owner of the acquisition target.  Over the past 15 years focusing on the privately-held, not-for-sale space, we have a 98% success rate getting our clients in meaningful conversations and meetings with companies that are deemed to be a strategic fit.

    The reason the Capstone approach is so successful is that it is truly unique – and we continue to hone it every day.  Many clients and prospective clients have experience ‘attacking’ owners with bulk mail and cold calls - which are almost always unsuccessful. Owners on the receiving end of this barrage tell me, “I get calls from people who want to buy my company every day.  I ignore them.”  This is in addition to CEOs who tell me that generic letters go straight into the ‘round file’.

    If you were to talk to owners we target, you would hear a much different response.  Usually, it sounds like “I am not sure why I returned your call but something was different about you.  It seemed sincere…you know more about us.  It makes sense.“

    You need to have the right data to deem a company attractive.  You need the right information to ‘open the door’ with an owner.  You need to have a well thought-out approach and story for the owner.  Remember, they not only don’t need to sell – they don’t need to talk to you.  Consider how you can alter that dynamic.

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  • Don’t Treat Your Business Like Day-Old Bread
    By Wes Teague on February 19th, 2010 | No Comments Comments

    for-saleA recent New York Times article, “How to Sell Your Business” provided some excellent advice about how to sell your own business. It recommended assembling “a team of professionals..an attorney and an accountant that you trust”. This is good counsel and should be followed by anyone selling, or buying, a business.

    However, the article also suggests using “For Sale” forums, such as Internet sites listing businesses for sale, suggesting that “most savvy buyers” research the Internet to find businesses for sale.  I strongly disagree with this.  Why would you just set your business out on a shelf like yesterday’s bread?   You should use hire a professional firm that specializes in finding businesses that meet the buyer’s specific criteria for growth, fill a need, or are otherwise the “right” company to buy.

    The Internet cannot do that and for-sale business bulletin boards cannot do that. In fact, many so-called business brokers cannot do that either. It takes the right kind of experienced firm, with a proven process and in-depth research capability to identify, research, qualify and close the “right” company. Most sellers only sell a business one time and they should beware of claims that make it sound easy - it’s not.

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  • Re-learning from AOL-Time Warner
    By Gretchen Johnson on February 18th, 2010 | No Comments Comments

    On this blog previously, David discussed some of the issues surrounding the AOL-Time Warner merger.  Given that the ten year anniversary of the merger was recently marked, I wanted to re-visit the ill-fated deal to explore it a little more in-depth.

    AOL and Time Warner merged to create the “world’s first Internet-age media and communications company” for an all-stock combined value of $350 billion. The merger announcement stated that the new company “will be uniquely positioned to speed the development of the interactive medium and the growth of all its businesses. It will provide an important new broadband distribution platform for AOL’s interactive services and drive subscriber growth through cross-marketing with Time Warner’s pre-eminent brands”… which doesn’t include the laundry list of growth opportunities captured in the remainder of the announcement covering everything from music to telephony.

    Instead of delivering on these ambitious promises, the merger imploded, translating into about $100B in lost shareholder value. The new company was plagued by many issues such as: short-term thinking, bad technology, bungled product development, and a risk-averse culture more prone to imitation than innovation. Most importantly the vision and passion the deal champions Jerry Levin and Steve Case established in 2000 were not effectively translated and executed by their people.

    Yes, there were external pressures such as regulators and Wall street that increased merger difficulties – but I believe it all comes back to a clear vision that sets the strategic direction that the rest of the organization can understand and execute against. To that point – AOL’s original vision was “to build a global medium as central to people’s lives as the telephone or television… and even more valuable”. The company accomplished this vision prior to the merger. Eventually they replaced the statement in 2006: “to serve the world’s most engaged community”, which is nondescript and applicable to many businesses.

    Recently, Jerry Levin, former CEO of AOL-Time Warner, and Steve Case, co-founder of AOL were on CNBC reflecting on the merger (see the video below). Levin apologized for the merger, “I presided over the worst deal of the century… I’m really very sorry about the pain and suffering and loss this has caused.” Levin and Case’s observations included:

    • Leaders need to be compassionate and understanding of the significant tension due to a merger’s disruptive nature and cultural differences
    • AOL TW was to be a ‘supermarket’ but instead was a ‘mall’
    • Vision is nothing without execution in which people are key
    • Too much focus on internal politics and wall street instead of customer needs

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  • More Divestitures for 2010?
    By Bob Kwaja on February 10th, 2010 | No Comments Comments

    From my recent experience working with middle-market companies, I would have to agree with this article that states that there were an increasing number of divestitures by multinational corporations (MNC) in 2009.  In particular, my work in the specialty chemical industry showed me that the economic downturn has forced many MNC’s to reassess their portfolios. This reassessment includes divesting any businesses that are not aligned with future strategic goals. Divestitures will also allow these MNC’s to clean up their balance sheets -  in other words, “free up cash.”  The reassessment of these portfolios has generated tremendous opportunity for middle market companies that are strongly positioned financially. Look for this divestiture trend to continue in 2010.

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  • M&A and the Market on the Rise
    By David Braun on January 12th, 2010 | 1 Comment1 Comment Comments

    The New York Stock Exchange ended 2009 up nea1083425_market_on_the_rise__2rly 30% over 2008.  That makes a lot of individuals feel better about the economy because they “feel” wealthier.

    Companies are no different.  With an up market we expect M&A activity to increase, generally as a laggard to the equities market.  Think about it:  a company’s stock price is up so they can use the stock as currency to buy other companies or as currency to obtain debt to acquire companies. Either way, we should  expect an uptick in 2010 M&A activity to follow the strong performance of the equities markets in 2009.

    Warren Buffett commented on this topic recently when he skewered Kraft for its stock offer to Cadbury saying:

    The share-issuance proposal, if enacted, will give Kraft a blank check allowing it to change its offer to Cadbury

    Watch for more public companies to make acquisition announcements, especially after they report 2009 earnings.  This could be a good time to think about divesting!

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  • A Record Number of Consumer Product Deals
    By David Braun on December 11th, 2009 | 1 Comment1 Comment Comments

    just-for-menAccording to the Wall Street Journal,  November 2009 was the biggest month in over a year for deals involving consumer products and food and drinks firms, with $12.54 billion in acquisitions.  And it doesn’t look like this momentum will be stopped.  Kettle Chips, Just for Men and Grecian Formula hair-coloring products, Aqua Velva cologne, Brylcreem hair gel, Vagisil feminine products and Ambi Pur brand are all reported to be on the block.  It is interesting to me that such well known brand name companies would sell in a down market. I believe the consumer product industry continues to have seismic changes as younger people are less tied to brands, while at the same time distribution channels like Wal-Mart have strengthening power over their suppliers and continue to expand their private label products. I anticipate more product consolidation as companies like P&G have to remain relevant to their customers and maintain some economies of scale. Perhaps at the end we will have some consumer product companies “too big to fail.”

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  • Little Orphan Product Lines
    By John Dearing on December 11th, 2009 | No Comments Comments

    Our buy-side clients at Capstone are seeing the same trend that a recent Reuters article reported: “Companies are making moves to divest assets that are not essential to their operations, while stronger firms, nudged on by their boards and shareholders, are looking to grow and position themselves for the recovery.”  This leads to numerous “orphan” non-core product lines and/or business units.  This is resulting in increased deal flow, with more silent auctions and calls coming in from around the globe.  Further, JPMorgan noted: “We are seeing a pickup in serious strategic discussions that would give us more optimism for 2010.”  Capstone’s pipeline is strong and growing as proactive external growth requirements are driving leaders to “come out of the woodwork” looking for strategic assets that will offset their deficits on the organic growth side as they refine their 2010 budget forecasts.  Do you need to fill a gap? Consider that technologies and product lines are “on the market”.

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  • A “Commitment to External Growth”
    By Wes Teague on December 4th, 2009 | No Comments Comments

    A recent round table of corporate dealmakers at a conference sponsored by The Deal offered some interesting insights into the strategy mindset of some of the largest corporations in America.  All of the panelists expressed a “commitment to external growth.”

    Two observations stood out to me. First, Sean Murphy of Abbott Labs said they are still “looking for strategically sensible deals”, implying that even in the face of current economic uncertainty, strategic deals are still being done.  Duncan O’Brien of GE noted that there were “some deals (they) couldn’t pass up because of valuations in this economy.”  We here at Capstone have long advocated that companies should not stop looking for ways to grow their companies externally - they just need to be smarter about how they do it.

    Second, as an example to reinforce this last point,  in referring to the use of joint ventures as an external growth vehicle, O’Brien stated that they have learned in a JV “to do enormous documentation in the beginning to circumvent problems” and to put in “the right leadership, putting emphasis on HR”.  In our opinion due diligence (enormous documentation) and integration (emphasis on HR after the deal is closed) are two sides of the same coin, and continue to be especially important in a strategic investment, where the return on investment can be as subjective as objective.

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  • Beyond Acquisition: Illy on the JV Team
    By David Braun on November 25th, 2009 | No Comments Comments

    The next time you visit your local (i.e. NOT Starbucks) coffee shop, pay attention to whether they touting that they are exclusively brewing a particular brand of coffee. If they are, there is an increasing likelihood that it is Illy, a premium Italian coffee brand.  Instead of opening dozens of new coffee houses, or acquiring local chains, Illy has decided to take on Starbucks by signing exclusive deals with independent coffee houses - first in Italy and over the past year throughout the United States.  This joint venture provides a differentiator for the cafe and creates a larger pipeline for Illy to compete against Starbucks.

    As we wrote nearly a year ago, external growth is about more than just mergers and acquisitions.  We encourage our clients to look at all options and let demand in the marketplace tell them which way to go.

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